Our weekly forex outlook for the week of August 15, 2026 highlights the high-impact economic events and market themes traders should watch. All times are approximate; verify against your broker’s calendar before trading.
Key Economic Events This Week
- Cash Rate (AUD) – 08-11-2026 4:30am, impact: High, forecast 4.35%, previous 4.35%
- RBA Monetary Policy Statement (AUD) – 08-11-2026 4:30am, impact: High
- RBA Rate Statement (AUD) – 08-11-2026 4:30am, impact: High
- Core CPI m/m (USD) – 08-12-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast 0.2%, previous 0.0%
- Core CPI y/y (USD) – 08-12-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast 2.5%, previous 2.6%
- CPI m/m (USD) – 08-12-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast 0.1%, previous -0.4%
- Inflation Expectations q/q (NZD) – 08-13-2026 3:00am, impact: Medium, previous 2.53%
- GDP m/m (GBP) – 08-13-2026 6:00am, impact: High, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.1%
- Prelim GDP q/q (GBP) – 08-13-2026 6:00am, impact: Medium, forecast 0.4%, previous 0.6%
Market News in Focus
- UBS lists 4 reasons why it may be a good time to look at infrastructure now
- Crusading India state food safety chief targets Eternal, Swiggy, Zepto in sweeping crackdo
- Fund managers chase €500 billion German pension overhaul
- Anthropic IPO valuation rests on up to $200 billion 2028 revenue target – Reuters
- Chinese drone maker DJI gets fresh chance to escape Pentagon’s blacklist
- Singapore stocks’ record rally gets boost from ‘Goldilocks’ economy
Trading Takeaway
High-impact releases can widen spreads and spike volatility. Trade liquid pairs, respect your risk rules, and use a stop-loss on every position. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
High-impact events (like CPI, NFP, central-bank decisions) move currencies most. They often widen spreads and spike volatility, so traders size positions carefully around them.
Use a stop-loss, avoid over-leverage, and consider waiting for the initial spike to pass. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
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