Our weekly forex outlook for the week of October 03, 2026 highlights the high-impact economic events and market themes traders should watch. All times are approximate; verify against your broker’s calendar before trading.
Key Economic Events This Week
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (EUR) – 09-28-2026 1:30pm, impact: Medium
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (EUR) – 09-29-2026 11:00am, impact: Medium
- German Prelim CPI m/m (EUR) – 09-30-2026 6:29am, impact: Medium, forecast 0.5%, previous 0.2%
- Cash Rate (AUD) – 09-29-2026 4:30am, impact: High, forecast 4.60%, previous 4.35%
- RBA Rate Statement (AUD) – 09-29-2026 4:30am, impact: High
- RBA Press Conference (AUD) – 09-29-2026 5:30am, impact: Medium
- GDP m/m (CAD) – 09-29-2026 12:30pm, impact: Medium, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.3%
- CB Consumer Confidence (USD) – 09-29-2026 2:00pm, impact: Medium, forecast 89.2, previous 89.4
- JOLTS Job Openings (USD) – 09-29-2026 2:00pm, impact: Medium, forecast 7.23M, previous 7.27M
- ADP Non-Farm Employment Change (USD) – 09-30-2026 12:15pm, impact: Medium, forecast 73K, previous 38K
- CPI m/m (CHF) – 10-01-2026 6:30am, impact: Medium, forecast 0.0%, previous 0.4%
- SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks (CHF) – 10-01-2026 3:30pm, impact: Medium
- BOE Gov Bailey Speaks (GBP) – 10-01-2026 8:00am, impact: Medium
- Tokyo Core CPI y/y (JPY) – 10-01-2026 11:30pm, impact: Medium, forecast 2.4%, previous 1.8%
Market News in Focus
- Analysis-AI’s race to transform the world before the money runs out
- US appeals court blocks Minnesota law barring ’nudified’ photos in XAI lawsuit
- Apple says it will flag AI requests for Mac data after Meta’s Muse draws complaints
- Exclusive-China demands copper supply commitments for Anglo Teck merger approval, sources
- G7 countries agree on release of diesel and oil stocks after US pressure
- Chinese auto show debuts in Argentina as sales surge
Trading Takeaway
High-impact releases can widen spreads and spike volatility. Trade liquid pairs, respect your risk rules, and use a stop-loss on every position. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
High-impact events (like CPI, NFP, central-bank decisions) move currencies most. They often widen spreads and spike volatility, so traders size positions carefully around them.
Use a stop-loss, avoid over-leverage, and consider waiting for the initial spike to pass. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
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