Our weekly forex outlook for the week of September 19, 2026 highlights the high-impact economic events and market themes traders should watch. All times are approximate; verify against your broker’s calendar before trading.
Key Economic Events This Week
- CPI m/m (CAD) – 09-14-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast -0.1%, previous 0.5%
- Median CPI y/y (CAD) – 09-14-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast 2.0%, previous 2.0%
- Trimmed CPI y/y (CAD) – 09-14-2026 12:30pm, impact: High, forecast 1.9%, previous 1.9%
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (EUR) – 09-14-2026 3:15pm, impact: Medium
- ECB President Lagarde Speaks (EUR) – 09-18-2026 10:30am, impact: Medium
- Claimant Count Change (GBP) – 09-15-2026 6:00am, impact: High, forecast 8.3K, previous -11.0K
- Average Earnings Index 3m/y (GBP) – 09-15-2026 6:00am, impact: Medium, forecast 3.9%, previous 4.1%
- CPI y/y (GBP) – 09-16-2026 6:00am, impact: High, forecast 3.1%, previous 2.9%
- Treasury Sec Bessent Speaks (USD) – 09-15-2026 2:00pm, impact: Medium
- Core Retail Sales m/m (USD) – 09-16-2026 12:30pm, impact: Medium, forecast 0.6%, previous -0.3%
- Retail Sales m/m (USD) – 09-16-2026 12:30pm, impact: Medium, forecast 0.8%, previous -0.6%
- GDP q/q (NZD) – 09-16-2026 10:45pm, impact: High, forecast 0.1%, previous 0.8%
- RBA Gov Bullock Speaks (AUD) – 09-17-2026 11:30pm, impact: Medium
- BOJ Policy Rate (JPY) – 09-18-2026 2:54am, impact: High, forecast <1.25%, previous <1.00%
- Monetary Policy Statement (JPY) – 09-18-2026 2:54am, impact: High
- BOJ Press Conference (JPY) – 09-18-2026 6:30am, impact: High
Market News in Focus
- Deutsche Bank sees cautious positioning despite market resilience
- UBS now expects AI capex to reach nearly $1tn this year and around $1.4tn by 2027
- US fashion council CEO Kolb resigns after clash with runway show protesters
- Exclusive-Paramount could settle with states over Warner Bros. as soon as this weekend, so
- Trump says he is banning media outlets CNN, MS NOW, Politico from White House
- Warren Buffett steps down as Berkshire chairman, replaced by his son Howard
Trading Takeaway
High-impact releases can widen spreads and spike volatility. Trade liquid pairs, respect your risk rules, and use a stop-loss on every position. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
High-impact events (like CPI, NFP, central-bank decisions) move currencies most. They often widen spreads and spike volatility, so traders size positions carefully around them.
Use a stop-loss, avoid over-leverage, and consider waiting for the initial spike to pass. Beginners should practise on a demo account first.
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